VMT: From Decline to Recovery - What the Last 18 Months Show

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    What the Last 18 Months Actually Show
    (July 2024 -April 2026)

    I’ve gone back through Vmoto’s announcements and put together a timeline of key events.

    There’s a clear progression emerging:

    2024: Sales decline + restructuring
    Late 2024: Buyback + attempted delisting 2025: Global expansion + improving order book
    Late 2025: Strategic deals + early recovery 2026: Strong rebound + positive cash flow + guidance upgrade

    Below is the detailed breakdown.


    PHASE 1: DOWNTURN & RESET (Jul – Dec 2024)

    24 July 2024
    Investment in Zenion (UK last-mile delivery fleet operator) – $970k

    2 August 2024 (2Q24 Update)
    Total sales: 4,167 units (down 50%)
    Cash: $41.7m

    26 August 2024
    Soco settlement – Vmoto gains full control of moulds and remaining stake

    2 September 2024
    South Africa JV (Nova Moto)

    13 November 2024 Thailand JV (GoRide)

    25 November 2024 Investment in Evotion (Singapore)

    16 December 2024
    Delisting announcement
    Book value: 21c | NTA: 19c
    Share price 7c at the time

    Key reasons:
    • Market undervaluation
    • Low liquidity
    • Cost of listing


    PHASE 2: CAPITAL MANAGEMENT & CONTROL (Jan – May 2025)

    3 February 2025
    Off-market buyback completed 39.5m shares at 12c ($4.7m)

    4 February 2025 (4Q24 Update)
    FY24 sales: 17,038 units (down 33%)
    Cash: $41.5m

    6 March 2025
    EGM – all board change proposals defeated

    March 2025
    New substantial holders emerge
    (Yi Chen, Yuming Zhou)

    2 May 2025 (1Q25 Update)
    Sales: 2,943 units
    Cash: $37.4m
    Negative operating cash flow: -$1.6m
    Order book: 2,530 units

    21 May 2025
    Delisting vote DEFEATED

    PHASE 3: GLOBAL EXPANSION
    (Mid – Late 2025)

    2 June 2025
    Increased investment in Zenion (UK)

    23 June 2025
    Uber partnership
    (Europe EV transition strategy)

    5 August 2025 (2Q25 Update)
    Sales decline continues
    Thailand JV terminated

    13 October 2025
    Pakistan JV established


    PHASE 4: INFLECTION POINT (Late 2025)

    4 November 2025 (3Q25 Update) Sales improving Operational cash flow turns positive Thailand facility operational Order book: 3,906 units

    18 November 2025 Munro family exits (major holder)

    28 November 2025 New substantial holder
    (Erchuan Zhou)

    1 December 2025 Thailand strategic deal
    (potential 100,000 units over time)

    8 December 2025 Investment in Lit Energy
    (Vietnam EV network)

    27 February 2026 (FY25 Results)
    Revenue: $46.8m (down 18%)
    Net loss: $9.9m
    Cash: $32.4m

    BUT: Order book: 7,462 units (+268%)


    PHASE 5: RECOVERY & ACCELERATION (2026)

    9 April 2026 FY26 guidance:
    $73.5m – $85m revenue

    22 April 2026 (1Q26 Update)
    Sales: 6,693 units (up 127% YoY)
    Positive operating cash flow
    Order book: 7,133 units AFTER strong deliveries Cash: $31.7m

    KEY TAKEAWAY
    Looking at the full timeline, Vmoto appears to have:• Taken a significant hit in 2024
    • Used that period to restructure and expand globally • Built a large international order book
    • Now starting to convert that into sales growth

    The key question now is execution:

    Can they sustain this growth and turn it into consistent profitability?

    That’s what I’ll be watching from here.
 
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