Valuation

  1. 1,960 Posts.
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    Any idea on how to value the rare earths business?

    This my attempt, please help me.

    Undiscounted valuation:
    - Resource = 89Mt
    - Resource conversion loss = 20%
    - Grade = 844ppm = 0.0844%
    - Leachability = 68%
    - Recovery = 98%
    - Payability = US$43/kg MREC product
    - AISC = AU$20/kg MREC product
    - Exchange Rate = 0.70
    - Capital Cost = $150M

    Valuation = (89Mt x 80% x 1,000) x 0.0844% x 68% x 98% x (43/0.7-20) - $150M

    = $1.5 Billion Free Cashflow (undiscounted)
 
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