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Ok heres the calls for the closing price on maiden JORC release...

  1. 1,520 Posts.
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    Ok heres the calls for the closing price on maiden JORC release in late Feb.

    oddoneout 15cents (booooo!!)
    mowee 16 (hiss!!)
    hac30-16.5
    SOj-18.5
    my perth broker-19
    Padona 19
    wasabibarako 19
    potentially 20
    pblonde 20.5
    Stu 21
    Phuket guy 21
    barramundi9 22
    bigfatsirion 22.5
    boc 22.5
    kropka23.5
    joe8264 23.5
    cag27 26
    s1r1us 26
    hunt25 27(hooraaay!!)
    bratty 27.5 (yeah baby!! - camera pans to massed crowd cheering wildly -hats being thrown in air and shot at )

    Ok i decided to do a life insurance calc-(as in by averaging they get to know when the average person will die but they cant say when you will actually die). To get the average (check my figures please someone) - i added all to make 426 then divided by 20 punters = 21.3

    so our average knowledge says stock price should be 21.3 cents at close of maiden Jorc day

    however as someone else mentioned we are more bullish than most the market because 1) were already long 2)we know the full potential here 3) were talking our book - so whats a fair price to discount our average choice by??? I'd say 20% - so bvy normal market standards (discounting our additional bullishness by 20%) we get to 17.4 cents

    so a life insurence actuary will tell us that at close on maiden jorc day CLA price will be between 17.4-21.3 cents. 13 of us are in that bracket.

    there we have it. as we have some hi-fallutin punters whos ghirlfiends only drink champgne prize is 100$ of booze od any type I'm shouting.

    PS. I hope Bratty wins!!
 
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