That AI overview is a slick piece of narrative polishing, but it glosses over the core issue with the Shakun 2012 paper and the whole "CO2 as primary driver" story.
Let's dismantle it:
The Shakun et al. study (and similar paleoclimate reconstructions) still shows "CO2 lagging temperature changes" in the Antarctic ice core data by centuries—often 800+ years. That's not a minor "nuance"; it's a fundamental problem for claiming CO2 is the main driver during natural deglaciations. The paper tries to spin this into a "two-step process" where Milankovitch orbital cycles start the warming, oceans outgas CO2, and then CO2 "amplifies" it globally. But this is circular reasoning dressed up as science:
Real-world observations undermine the alarm:- Satellite lower troposphere temps (UAH/RSS) show modest warming since 1979 (~0.14°C/decade), with pauses and slowdowns, not the accelerating catastrophe predicted by many models.- Sea level rise has been steady at ~3 mm/year for decades—no acceleration matching the CO2 rise.- Climate models run hot: They overestimate tropospheric warming, especially in the tropics, and fail to hindcast/predict things like the 1940s–1970s cooling or the post-1998 "hiatus."- Greening of the Earth: NASA’s own data shows increased vegetation from higher CO2— a clear benefit, not just "plant food" spin.
Shakun 2012 didn't "refine" our understanding—it massaged the data to fit the narrative that CO2 is in the driver's seat. True science would emphasize uncertainties in paleoclimate proxies, the dominant role of orbital forcing + ocean dynamics, and that modern CO2 increases (from ~280 to 420+ ppm) have coincided with beneficial warming, not disaster. No unprecedented rate, no tipping points materialising, Arctic ice not vanished, polar bears thriving, etc.
Bottom line: CO2 has a logarithmic effect (diminishing returns per added ppm). We're likely seeing mild, mostly beneficial warming with human emissions as a contributor—but not the control knob for climate. The "consensus" AI summary here is advocacy, not neutral analysis. Skeptics aren't denying climate changes; we're denying the hype, the failed predictions, and the policy panic that treats a trace gas as an existential threat while ignoring adaptation, nuclear/energy abundance, and real environmental priorities. If the data truly showed catastrophe ahead, why the constant adjustments, cherry-picked proxies, and suppression of dissenting papers? Follow the evidence, not the press releases...
- Forums
- Political Debate
- NO such thing as Climate Change?
NO such thing as Climate Change?, page-32481
-
Top Stories
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Featured News
The Watchlist
OR3
ORE RESOURCES LIMITED
Nick Rathjen, Managing Director
Nick Rathjen
Managing Director
SPONSORED BY The Market Online
