Scraps 10 pct duty; second cut in 4 months Analysts doubt govt's...

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    • Scraps 10 pct duty; second cut in 4 months
    • Analysts doubt govt's output projections
    • Droughts in 2014, 2015 led to stock drawdown

    (Adds finance minister, analyst, context)

    India has scrapped its 10 percent import duty on wheat, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley told parliament on Thursday, amid fears of a shortage of the staple after droughts in 2014 and 2015 depleted stocks.

    Private importers have already purchased about 500,000 tonnes of wheat, largely from Australia, in the past month after the world's second-biggest producer of the grain cut the duty to 10 percent from 25 percent in September.

    Jaitley said the latest duty cut was effective immediately with no end date. The cut is likely to help private traders such as Cargill , Louis Dreyfus and Glencore GLEN.L increase their imports.

    The duty reductions have also raised doubts about the government's wheat production estimates. Traders say production in the last two years has fallen well below the peak of 2014 and 2015, reducing stocks to the lowest level in nearly a decade and pushing domestic prices close to record highs.

    The announcement comes a month after the government, in a shock crackdown against the shadow economy, scrapped high-value banknotes that accounted for 86 percent of cash in circulation.

    Farmers have complained that the move made it hard for them to buy seed and fertilisers, disrupting the planting of winter crops. Officials counter that planting is ahead of schedule but have also taken steps to boost credit to farmers.

    India's farm ministry in August pegged 2016 wheat output at 93.50 million tonnes, up from 86.53 million tonnes a year ago, but most traders see substantially lower production.

    "The government has been progressively reducing the wheat import tax and has now finally abolished the duty," said Tejinder Narang, a widely respected New Delhi-based trade analyst. "This clearly validates the fact the agriculture ministry's production estimate of 93 million-94 million tonnes was just a myth. Pure myth."

    A farm ministry spokesman could not immediately be reached for comment.(4954 8026/3015 8026, ; Reuters Messaging: [email protected], Twitter: http//twitter.com/krishnadas56))

 
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