NCM 0.06% $31.83 newcrest mining limited

S&P hits intraday record, but has since pulled back Most S&P...

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    • S&P hits intraday record, but has since pulled back
    • Most S&P sectors higher; energy, tech lead
    • U.S. 10-Yr T-Note yield sub-2.0%, Dollar index falls

    June 20 - Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of U.S. equity markets brought to you by Reuters stocks reporters and anchored today by Chuck Mikolajczak. Reach him on Messenger to share your thoughts on market move [email protected]

    GOLD AND GOLD MINERS: DYNAMIC DUO (1207 EDT/1607 GMT) Amid the Fed's rate cut hint, falling yields and trade and geopolitical tensions, spot gold XAU= is reaching its highest level in 5 years.

    With its rally, gold has broken above the upper boundary of a large triangular pattern (at about $1,358) , taking gold mining shares along for the ride. (Click on chart below)

    Indeed, there is a strong positive correlation between gold and the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF GDX.P . The rolling 10-week correlation has now risen to 0.96 (1.0 strongest possible positive correlation). Thus, with gold's breakout, precious metals miners are in the spotlight.

    And this not only because gold has broken above the upper boundary of its triangular pattern, but it is also forging above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of its 2011/2015 bear market (at $1,379.89). This barrier capped the initial rise off the late-2015 low, and continued to cap strength until now.

    Gold's next resistance is at $1,391.76 then $1,433.31. However, an advance to the 50% retracement of the 2011/2015 bear can target $1,483.07. In that event, the GDX, which is up nearly 19% year-to-date, will likely see much greater gains.

    Gold failing to sustain strength above $1,379.89 and then reversing back below the broken triangle boundary, now support, will likely put the GDX back in the shadows.

    (Terence Gabriel)

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$31.83
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