News: FOREX-Yen stuck near 2019 lows as risk rally hits safe havens

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    • Yen breaches 112 per dollar as markets rally
    • Swiss franc also weakens, hits one-month low
    • Broader FX moves stay small on low volatility
    • Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

    The yen dropped towards its 2019 low on Monday and the Swiss franc hit its weakest in nearly a month as a rally in global markets dented demand for currencies considered safe havens.

    Currency market volatility has eased significantly in recent weeks and moves were again muted, though there were signs that optimism over progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations and strong Chinese economic data was pushing investors into riskier currencies.

    The yen fell as low as 112.09 per dollar JPY=EBS in Asian trading, near a 2019 low of 112.135, before recovering slightly as the European session got under way.

    "USD/JPY is testing the 112.00 level and we expect the cross to break above this level this week in response to solid US data and stabilising risk appetite," ING analysts said in a note.

    The Swiss franc also eased against the euro, hitting 1.1340 francs EURCHF=EBS . The Swiss currency had strengthened to a 2019 high of 1.1164 francs in late March but has since lost 1.5 percent.

    A relatively upbeat assessment of the global economy out of the International Monetary Fund meeting at the end of last week has helped global investment sentiment.

    The positive mood was extended by U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin saying he hoped U.S.-China trade talks were approaching a final lap.

    Data out of the world's biggest economies also pointed to a recovery. On Friday, Chinese exports rebounded sharply and new bank loans increased far more than expected in March.

    Although China's imports remained weak, the data on the whole fuelled hopes that the economy is bottoming out after a soft patch.

    The dollar also weakened slightly, allowing the euro to cement gains above $1.13. The euro rose 0.1 percent to $1.1315 EUR=EBS .

    The dollar index slid 0.2 percent to 96.829 .DXY . The more positive mood helped offset any concerns about upcoming trade talks between the United States and Japan, in which Washington is expected to include a currency provision in a bilateral agreement.

    "We are seeing a classical risk-on market," said Minori Uchida, chief currency analyst at MUFG Bank.

    But Uchida also believes the dollar's upside may be limited, given that speculators have already built up large long positions in it.

    Data on Friday showed speculators bolstered their net long dollar position in the latest week, pushing it to the highest since December 2015.

    Sterling remained near $1.31, as it has for much of the past week, and volatility has fallen sharply after the European Union and British government delayed Brexit until October.

 
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