PDN 1.79% 13.8¢ paladin energy ltd

nightstalker, I agree its an apples with oranges comparison......

  1. 75 Posts.
    nightstalker, I agree its an apples with oranges comparison... but .... based on their production plan over the shorter run I think the current sp is not justifiable given (1) they've just lowered their production forecasts (2) the AUD/USD creates headwind (3) uranium prices are likely to be supressed for 2010 http://www.theajmonline.com.au/mining_news/news/2009/december/december-17-09/top-stories/uranium-price-outlook-flat-rcr (4) accurately predicting uranium supply and prices post 2014/15 is a challenge.

    RCR has just put out a great report of the uranium sector. you can download the summary for free http://www.rcresearch.com.au/reports - base case valuation of PDN is AUD3.20, assuming Long Term Uranium Price (from 2016) of US40 and A$/US$ of .91. Increases to 4.70 assuming US70 and .80.

    anyway, food for thought - I am short since 4.10.
 
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