Originally posted by ChippyDude
Based on the 1900s dow Chart, assuming that we map that pattern 100 years apart.
Then we could see a rally towards the end of 2019, breaking current Index highs, and then have a sell off equal in size to 2008.
Thats by size not %, so Could be less % selloff, So that would be from 2020 to 2022 or so.
Also ive noticed that as decades end, they tend to end on a high, based on Index History, so that adds to the 2019 Rally and 2020 peak theory.
And then from the 2022 dip, a super rally to 2029 then super crash.
Originally posted by ChippyDude
By assuming the Index charts from 2000 - 2100 will peak and dip at the same date intervals 100 years apart from the 1900s Index charts.
So Far since 2000 - 2020, the peaks and dips in the Index charts have been similar to 1900 - 1920.
So I expect this to continue, 100 year pivot repeats
I quite like your logic here and a 21-22 dip lines up with me too although i come from a slightly different angle or have a slightly broader view to increase confidence of '22 dip. These longer term cycles, in my view, can be effected by more than just index cycles and something that is in the back of my mind is the currency system cycle because in the two major economic dips we've had in the last 100 odd years the currency system has needed adjustment, i don't look at the GFC as a major economic dip because they saved it temporarily with QE, Australia hasn't even had an economic recession for the GFC.
Thus in my DD for forcasting/best guessing next major dip and why i intergrate index charts and monetary system/Gold charts, i do this because i believe it adds accuracy and brings other potential opportunities and/or defensive plays into my investment outlook/arena.
I think the longer term Gold cycles and charts are worth some consideration especially with central bankers being net buyers for first time in a while. briefly - 1930's Gold $30 ......... 1980's Gold $800 ......2020's-30's Gold ??? If cycles repeat on a pro-rata basis as you allude to with your index charting then whats the upcoming target price for Gold? I have shrunk the Gold cycle time frame by 8 yrs because of the excessive QE and money printing and Trump speeding up the 'natural' cycle with tariffs and political change.
Anyways just something that may or may not be worth consideration.
Fish.
