BBP 0.00% 9.5¢ babcock & brown power

closer look

  1. 2,650 Posts.
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    Traders are all over this, so thought I'd have a closer look at the fundamentals - here goes.....

    288m EBITDA estimated for FY2010
    760m shares on issue
    + 80m to be issued at 18c

    Net Assets 1.31 as at 30/06/09 down from 1.92 the year before.
    Net Tangible Assets -1.48 30/06/09 down from -1.05 the year before.

    I expect we will see some large write-downs this fin year of the 2b billion in Intangibles (only 20% written off to date)

    2.926b in Debt post consolidation. They can support this with EBITDA of 288m

    So earnings are good, NTA sux, banks support for now.

    A simple capital raising (rights, SPP etc) would not generate enough cash to significantly dent the 3b considering the MC is ~72m post restructure ((760m + 80m) x 0.086c) , either a cornerstone investor (with retail / sophisticated) or majore asset sales on the horizon.

    I can't foresee the directors being content having a large burden of debt long term, assets sales reduce the size of the directors empire so logically they'll be looking for a cornerstone like Brookfield did for BBI (now PIH).

    At sub 10c in a rallying market, IMO a BUY!
 
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