Hang your heads in shame you gullible "science" reporters , teachers and climate change zealots who have destroyed this generations` hope in a positive future by brainwashing them with repeated extreme ideas of the world being destroyed by their selfish western life styles. Almost all of the modelled changes predicted have failed to come true over the last twenty years. The world has bloomed in every aspect slightly set back by Covid and the poor woke response.
Finally it is so apparent that even the mule like and one sided IPCC has to admit they got it wrong.
From wattsup with that
For nearly two decades, a single climate model scenario haunted virtually every apocalyptic headline you read about our planet’s future. Vanishing coastlines, catastrophic droughts, mass extinctions, cities underwater — almost all of it was built on a scenario called RCP 8.5. And now, in a development that climate scientist Roger Pielke Jr. is calling the “most significant development in climate research in decades,” the international committee responsible for producing the official scenarios that feed into IPCC climate assessments has formally eliminated RCP 8.5 — and its successor SSP5-8.5 — from the new framework, classifying them as implausible.
Let that sink in for a moment. Implausible. That’s a weasel word for Impossible. That’s the word the scientists themselves are now using to describe the scenario that dominated two full IPCC assessment cycles, generated tens of thousands of research papers, and provided the raw material for an estimated hundreds of thousands of media stories that told the public — and their children — that the world as we know it was coming to an end.
It’s a good day for science. It’s a terrible indictment of what was done in science’s name. What Was RCP 8.5, Anyway?
RCP stands for Representative Concentration Pathway. It was one of a family of scenarios developed to give climate modelers a range of possible futures to work with, from aggressive decarbonization at the low end to a worst-case ‘burn everything’ trajectory at the high end. That high end was RCP 8.5 — a scenario requiring atmospheric CO₂ concentrations exceeding 1,000 parts per million by 2100, roughly two and a half times today’s levels. A helpful technical overview of how the scenario was constructed can be found at Carbon Brief, who by the way, swallowed that forecast hook, line, and sinker.
To get there, RCP 8.5 assumed a world that would massively and continuously expand coal consumption for the rest of the century, with coal use eventually exceeding the planet’s estimated recoverable reserves. It assumed population growth far above any credible demographic projection, minimal technological progress, and essentially no energy transition whatsoever.
Researchers knew this early on. As far back as 2017, serious academic work was questioning the scenario’s foundations. By 2020, climate scientists Zeke Hausfather and Glen Peters published a widely-read commentary warning that RCP 8.5 was ‘misleading’ as a business-as-usual scenario and that it ‘becomes increasingly implausible with every passing year.’ That paper has been cited over 1,300 times. But the machine kept running anyway. The Scale of the Damage: By the Numbers
Here is what makes this moment so extraordinary — and so damning. According to data compiled by Roger Pielke Jr. using Google Scholar, between 2018 and 2021 alone, approximately 17,000 academic papers were published using RCP 8.5. Another 16,900 followed in the subsequent three-year period — meaning the usage of the scenario barely slowed even as its flaws became widely known inside the scientific community.
Those academic papers did not stay in journals. Science “journalism” amplified them. Each alarming study generated news articles, television segments, radio reports, social media posts, and classroom curricula. Conservative estimates suggest that the total number of media articles worldwide referencing RCP 8.5 projections — directly or through the studies that used it — runs into the hundreds of thousands, possibly approaching a million pieces of content over the scenario’s two-decade lifespan. Every one of them carried some version of the same message: this is where we are headed.
The policy consequences of that foundation of sand cannot be overstated. RCP 8.5 provided the scientific cover for control policies by zealots and scammers that, by any honest description, amount to government seizure of the energy economy — the kind of top-down control over production, consumption, and individual choice that previous generations would have recognized as socialism by another name. Mandated vehicle eliminations, forced retirement of power plants, prohibitions on gas appliances, trillion-dollar ‘transition’ spending programs — all of it justified, ultimately, by impact studies running a scenario the scientific community has now declared impossible.
For the past fifteen to twenty years, millions of schoolchildren around the world have been educated in classrooms where RCP 8.5 was not presented as a worst-case outlier or a modeling exercise. It was presented as the future. Teachers showed its projections. Textbooks cited its outcomes. Documentary films dramatized its consequences. And the children listening absorbed a message that no child should be handed as established fact: the world is ending, and there may be nothing anyone can do.
The psychological evidence for the resulting damage is now substantial. A landmark global survey published in the Lancet Planetary Health in 2021, covering 10,000 young people aged 16 to 25 across ten countries, found that 59% were very or extremely worried about climate change, and more than 45% said their feelings about climate change negatively affected their daily life and functioning. Three-quarters said they believe the future is frightening. More than half reported feeling sad, anxious, angry, powerless, helpless, or guilty about climate change on a regular
