BGA 0.76% $4.00 bega cheese limited

BGA chart, page-3

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    Hello all holders here and anyone else

    I am not currently invested  in  Bega but have been doing some research  ( also into  A2m and some other dairy companies) as I wanted to get a bit of a feel for the sector. ..

    I am now sharing in case it’s useful to other potential investors  but mainly  because I am hoping for objective feedback/clarification  from those following the company..

    Cheers


    Price:
    With respect to A2M it seems it may be a long time (if ever?) before it drops back to some of its technical gaps whereas at Bega, seeing as the price has dropped below  the $7.10 of the  recent SPP it may be good value, especially as trading close to the $6.68 TA support line charted  above.
    But I am concerned about the imminent court case with Fonterra and recent propensity for other legal strife .
    If the Fonterra case judgement goes  against Bega what would the short  term response be?
    ( if and when you can spare time @Saragian I would appreciate your TA perspective please )


    Investors :
    Coopers investments which bought in last year comes  across as a successful and dynamic fund manager and has  recently  increased its’ position to 9.52% .
    There  are  other institutions roosting with solid positions - Perpetual with around 13% and Macquarie
    (As far as Coopers goes  here  are some recent reports on what it looks for;
    http://www.cooperinvestors.com/pdf/Reports/BrunswickFund/BrunswickFundQJun18.pdf
    http://www.cooperinvestors.com/pdf/Reports/BrunswickFund/BrunswickFundQMar18.pdf
    The fact that seemingly with thorough understanding of the company including current legal proceedings  they have increased their position is encouraging .)

    Financials/potential :
    Last FY Bega performed well, funding a new dairy factory (expected to add $20m EBITDA) plus earning decent profit.
    Energetically it seems growth- oriented; buying a Queensland  peanut company and Vegemite etc last year, and now now looking to acquire Capilano Honey ?

    Management :
    Executive Chairman, Barry Irvin  has been closely involved since 1989  .
    I gather Bega got going after he was called home (in his early 20’s)  from a career in banking to become involved in the family farming business  (Bega had expanded enough to go public around 20 years later. (Launched on ASX  August 2011 at S1.84.)
    He has been in the game 30 years and has some commendable successes under his belt .
    http://www.investing.businessweek.w...n.asp?personId=32632854&privcapId=5440962
    https://www.intheblack.com/articles/2017/11/01/how-bega-bought-vegemite

    Who is he?  Apart from being clearly patriarchal and with an eye to the future .
    ( https://www.stockandland.com.au/story/4990701/leadership-comes-from-service-begas-barry-irvin/
    Is an interesting speech (reported 16.10.2017 ) especially in the light of the reasons cited for the resignation of  director Richard Platts 4.09.17 six weeks earlier ....
    https://hotcopper.com.au/documentdownload?id=uOMxKKzFkiWRTLKhOROKAxjvSTYO5Am8zReZovB4ke92GA==
    - maybe some subtext in there ?

    If he is the ‘backbone’ of the company  is there any hint of what kind of succession plan is in place ?

    Also with regards management; the new CEO Paul von Heerwaarden :
    There have been a lot of changes since he was promoted Feb 1, 2017.
    ......most of them seem to be excellent expansive strategies but I am curious about the amount of associated litigation.


    Legal and other issues:
    Can anyone tell me if there  has there been any developments with regards legal proceedings with Fonterra over brand name ‘theft’ by Bega (despite long standing exclusivity arrangements) . ‘https://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/f...r/news-story/90a04c5866d683bae9dde49c4bfbf0cd
    This was all supposed to be being heard ‘mid’ year .
    If the proceedings go against Bega it seems it will not be good for the share price despite the confidence of those participating in SPP.

    With reference to legal issues there’s also this :https://www.********.au/2017/10/27/has-bega-cheese-limited-just-created-an-expensive-mess/ - ie litigation last year after it bought  Vegemite/peanut butter from Kraft.
    And the  current Capilano Honey ‘bidding war’ with Chinese company https://www.news.com.au/finance/bus...y/news-story/306c52289944cf8f9257a6e4c6146ccb...
    ..is  interesting when they want to expand into  China. Might this earn them a negative reputation?
    ..Plus scandals over the honey https://www.smh.com.au/business/con...ed-of-selling-fake-honey-20180827-p5000u.html.


    Blackmores and Bega
    Also I would appreciate some more information on the connection( if any )  with Blackmores in regards Bega/Tatura’s current ‘nutritionals’  research  ...there was originally to be a two year JV between these companies but this was scrapped and reformatted  as a “customiser/ supplier” connection after a spectacular fail of the JV infant formula  launch into China?
    https://www.*.com.au/the-blackmores-and-bega-infant-formula-push-into-china-isnt-working-2016-10
    Specifically in regards the nutritional research currently being undertaken,  do people feel Tatura is planning on allying with Blackmores more closely again in future or potentially going into competition with that company as it has done with Fonterra ?


    ‘Elite’ product offering?
    Other information I am hoping for some help with is Bega’s presence/potential  in the ‘elite ’ milk market ..
    ie
    -the jersey/guernsey A2 milkers
    -organic offerings
    -high protein offerings
    -Grass fed/sunshine grazed milk , cream and butter and cheese   (Vitamin K2 a demonstrated anti-aging nutrient requiring these conditions )
    - other nutritional factors like night milking
    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24243550
    http://www.lullabymilk.com/

    https://www.healthyvalleyorganics.com.au/health-education/vitamin-k2-the-french-paradox/
    https://www.biohackerslab.com/ep18-kevin-kennedy/
    Etc
    Last edited by sabine: 23/09/18
 
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