I have based these projections on the historical performance on the change in Base's net cash position. In their presentation the very top line from 2016 to 2020 was their figures in USD. Underneath AUD and the net cash they were holding per share in AUD so at the end of 2020 they were holding 10.3c per share in cash. Their net cash per share increase each year has ranged between 6 and 8c. so i used 7c for my future projections. Based on all things remaining equal and payment of 4c per share dividends in 2021 and 2022 we have $150 mill aud in cash after paying the dividend at the start of 2023.
I think this is why Tim has the confidence to start paying dividends now.
What could go wrong?
ANYTHING hahaha
BSENet Cash projections projections starting 2023 with 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Net Cash -$151,500,000 -$98,500,000 -$33,200,000 $19,200,000 $87,600,000 $117,084,000 $142,284,000 $108,012,000 usd -$210,416,667 -$136,805,556 -$46,111,111 $26,666,667 $121,666,667 $162,616,667 $197,616,667 $150,016,667 aud net cash/share -$0.116 -$0.039 $0.023 $0.103 $0.138 $0.167 Change $53,000,000 $65,300,000 $52,400,000 $68,400,000 $59,472,000 $59,472,000 usd $73,611,111 $90,694,444 $72,777,778 $95,000,000 $82,600,000 $82,600,000 aud net cash/share(increase) $0.06 $0.08 $0.06 $0.08 $0.07 $0.07 dividend aud/div $0.035 $0.040 $0.040 aud total $41,650,000 $ 47,600,000 $ 47,600,000 aud usd total $29,988,000 $ 34,272,000 $ 34,272,000 usd cash left over cash left over cash left over aud total $80,016,667 $115,016,667 $150,016,667 aud usd total $57,612,000 $82,812,000 $108,012,000 usd
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