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How do you get a NPAT of 80M - you haven't accounted for...

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    How do you get a NPAT of 80M - you haven't accounted for infrastructure spending - the licencing of the games, the maintenance of the technology. The user adaption of the technology. To have 1M people using the service lets say at peak they have 300k people playing that and each machine can handle 3 players at a time to run AAA game (I don't think the computer could handle 3 games simultaneously in VM). We are talking about 100k machines and lets make up 5k per machine as i posted the latest GPU is about 2k just on the card (remember they are targeting 'high end' performance) you would be looking at $500,000,000 heck make the machines 1k (which are cheap machines especially for what they are trying to achieve) but only 2 games at the same time - it is still $200,000,000.

    Your NPAT is now NEGATIVE 120M and we haven't jumped into electricity cost and licencing is going to be an interesting one what if the game developers want 10CENTS per gaming session (highly doubt 10c will be the rate as they sell a game for $100 right now which would mean a person would have to play 1000x (1000 days?) just for them to get what they currently receive upfront on day 1. I understand they would also likely pick extra gamers who just want to 'try' it but i would think more likely 20c-$1 per click but lets stick with 10c to make it viable for EM1 (not the developer - unless there is some sort of start up fee e.g.. 10M (AAA game) and then 10c per click).... and half the 1M users play each day (500k) you are talking about 50k per day in licencing or $18,250,000 p.a.

    So far I am seeing a loss of ~140M using your numbers with my conservative numbers.

    Further they say technology doubles every 2 years so in 2 years time you will need to spend another 200M-500M so for the next 3 years I have quickly calculated 400M->1Bn in machine costs + electricity + licencing which would be a further ~60M and this accounted for marketing, staff, leases, future development.

    I can see potential in EM1 dont get me wrong but there is a long way from becoming a sustainable business - unless I am missing something?
    Last edited by BigWill2018: 29/04/19
 
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