We need to risk adjust this (for trial success) and time discount it (more than two years to complete the trials). But to make up some numbers... maybe a 20% chance of spectacular trial results (like the 2B, but with a more normal control arm result), a 40% chance of a "yes this is good" result, and a 40% chance of a failure? I think the prospects would justify a US$1bn market cap now.
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We need to risk adjust this (for trial success) and time...
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Mkt cap ! $490.4M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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