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03/05/16
19:50
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Originally posted by AverageJoe
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Since you invested in gold 20 years ago (1996) I thought I just bring out a few examples that is on top of my head and market leaders globally, BHP & RIO
Accordingly spot gold according to Trading view,
1996 low circa $365 and high in 20 years $1918 non compounded = 525% total return /20 average 26% return pa
BHP 10.43 low and high $97.87 on the US quoted ADR non compounded = 938% total return / 20 average 47% pa
RIO $13.88 low and high $139.60 US quoted ADR non compounded = 1000% total return / 20 average 50% pa
Gold has holding cost and insurance expensed yearly. BHP/RIO has dividends paid for loyalty. No brainer which one gives a better return. However to be fair BHP/RIO had a big volatile GFC sell off so I am just cherry picking for reference on total return on a 20year buy and hold.
I don't care for 'intrinsic' valuation because emotion sucks oneself into a hold longer that one should be, euphemistically referred to as "Falling in love".
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One big difference Joe.
Negative rates.
20 years ago has no relevance to today.
Gold, (depending how you hold it) is safe in an increasingly unstable world.